Darby Creek Advocate Volume 9, Issue 3 November 2001
OSU's Gordon Models Darby
Trends in Updated Study
During the spring 2001 semester, the Darby Creek Association provided a $500
grant to Professor Steven I. Gordon’s City and Regional Planning Studio at OSU.
This grant helped fund a study entitled “Development and Change in the Big Darby
Watershed.” The study concluded that worrisome trends are afoot in the Darby
watershed, and unless serious planning controls are put in place the watershed
will see a deterioration in its condition.
The study focused on population growth and the changes in land use accompanying
that growth. Special emphasis was placed on analyzing the percentage of land
covered in impervious surfaces (e.g. roofing, pavement, etc.). Using satellite
imagery, the study estimated impervious areas represented 8.98% of the Darby
watershed in 1997 and 14.9% in 1999 (this does not represent a total level of
impervious surface, just the amount of space, such as urban areas, that includes
a high percentage of impervious
surface). Researches have correlated increases in impervious surfaces with
declines in water quality.
The study analyzed the correlation between land usage and impervious surface
area, and the biological and physical quality of the aquatic habitats, in a set
of Darby subwatersheds. The most important predictors of aquatic quality turned
out to be land use in the areas immediately adjacent to the
stream. Deciduous forest cover on the stream bank had a strong positive effect
on aquatic quality, while adjacent agricultural practices had a strong negative
effect. This confirms the importance of buffers in Darby preservation efforts.
The quantity of impervious surface had a weak statistical relationship with
aquatic quality, possibly, according to Gordon, because Darby does not have a
statistically high level of highly degraded stretches.
The study also modeled flooding scenarios in the Hellbranch Run subwatershed
based on varying levels of development. The study predicted floods would occur
faster and last longer as the amount of impervious surface increases. The study
thus supports what residents of the Hellbranch area already know: management of
stormwater from new developments is critical.
The study concludes that there are currently no policies in place that would
control growth in the Big Darby watershed. Without such mechanisms, trends
suggest that changes in land use and impervious
surface can be expected to greatly increase threats to the biological quality of
the system.
The nature of recent trends demonstrate that a variety of conditions are causing
the continuing deterioration of some tributaries to Big Darby. These include
land use in the riparian zone, changes in habitat associated with these land use
changes, changes in runoff and flooding, and increasing chemical and sediment
pollution loads. A combination of engineering controls on the runoff generated
by new development, changes in agricultural practices, and limitations on growth
in critical areas will be required to protect the watershed from further harm.
Gordon’s results from this and other studies can be accessed at the Big Darby
Creek Watershed Data Sharing Project on the web at facweb.arch.ohio-state.edu/sgordon/research/darby/start.
Click on the “themes” link.
by Paul Dumouchelle